Friday, October 21, 2011
World Series Game 3 - Preview
I'm not certain of much but if you like baseball games with lots of scoring tonight's game will be for you. Nothing against the starters Kyle Lohse and Matt Harrison, but neither starter boasts nasty stuff. Add to the fact that they will play the game at the Ballpark in Arlington, one of the most hitter friendly parks in the league, and you have yourself a barn burner in the making. I've already slammed Lohse in an earlier post but let's just say I don't like his chances against the Rangers in Texas. His 2011 K/9 of 5.30 and his relatively high FB% (36.7) do not bode well for success in Arlington. Sure he hasn't faced many of the hitters in their current lineup (Michael Young the lone standout), so he will have a slight element of surprise going for him. Still, the Rangers boast a multitude of power bats and the stadium caters to them. The key for the Cardinals will be if Lohse can allow slightly less runs than Harrison. The Rangers Game 3 starter had a solid season and all of his skills suggest he may be for real. The highest K/BB of his career (2.21) has lead to easily his best season as a big leaguer. Harrison does a good job of keeping the ball on the ground (47%) and striking out batters (6.11 K/9) which are key skills for winning games in the cozy confines in Arlington. I don't see this one ending 1-0 but I've been wrong before and will be again. Look for a big scoring game which I think the Rangers win.